Build a risk register, see the probability–impact picture, and run a Monte Carlo contingency in seconds. The analysis is free. The audit-ready report is yours for a one-time price.
Edit the register below. Everything recalculates live. Nothing leaves your browser.
| Risk | Owner | Prob | O | L | P | PERT | EMV | Response |
|---|
How the number is built: each risk may or may not occur, weighted by its probability. When it does, its cost is drawn from a Beta-PERT curve across your O / L / P estimates. We run the project many times and read the reserve at your chosen confidence. The expected cost is the average; the reserve is the buffer that keeps you within budget at that confidence.
Free, watermarked preview available before you buy.
The thinking should be free. What you pay for is the defensible, shareable record of the decision.
A single contingency percentage hides the shape of your risk. Quantifying it gives you a number with a confidence level attached, and a record of how you got there. As routine analysis gets automated, that record is the part that still needs a human to sign it.
Occasional, practical notes on sizing risk and making decisions you can defend. No noise.
SocraticFlow launches this summer. The first 100 people on the list get founding member pricing.
We will email you once on launch day. No spam, ever.
We will email you the moment the tools go live, with your founding member access. In the meantime, try the watermarked preview to see exactly what the paid report looks like.